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Keon Johnson

Keon Johnson Points
Player Prop - 2/7/2025

Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat

Keon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-141/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keon Johnson has attempted 14.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Keon Johnson has attempted 7.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Keon Johnson has averaged 30.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.9 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.

This year, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 6.3 3-point attempts per game (highest in the NBA) against the Heat, labeling this as a good matchup.

Keon Johnson has attempted 4.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Nets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA this year.

The Nets will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from being pitted against the 4th-slowest pace team in the NBA this year (the Heat).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Nets rank 8thworst in in the league with only 10.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) against the Heat, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

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