Keon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2024

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Keon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keon Johnson

G · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs San Antonio Spurs · Dec 27, 2024

Updated Dec 28, 2024 2:35 AM EST

Analysis

Keon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keon Johnson has attempted 5.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's attempted in all games this season.
Keon Johnson has tallied 24.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.4 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.
When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Nets's excellent 14.8 successful threes per game rates 5th-best in the NBA this year.
This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot 54.7% on field goals (2nd-highest in the league) against the Spurs, creating a good matchup.
The Brooklyn Nets are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 9th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the San Antonio Spurs).

Favors Under

Keon Johnson has committed 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's committed in all games this year.
The 2nd-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Brooklyn Nets.
The Brooklyn Nets rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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