Keon Ellis Points - Player Prop Bet 4/6/2026

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NBA · Player Props

Keon Ellis

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Apr 6, 2026

Updated Apr 6, 2026 7:58 PM EST

Analysis

Keon Ellis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-134/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cavaliers are expected to see an increase in possessions today from squaring off against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Grizzlies).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Cavaliers rank 8th-best in in the league away from home with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 3.2 foul shots per game (7th-most in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

The matchup against Memphis is a difficult one; when the Memphis Grizzlies are at home, they have allowed the least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (9.9).
The 6th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Cavaliers.