Keon Ellis Points - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2026

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NBA · Player Props

Keon Ellis

G · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Houston Rockets · Jan 11, 2026

Updated Jan 11, 2026 8:19 PM EST

Analysis

Keon Ellis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Favors Under

Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting SGs have logged 12.6 points per game (fewest in the league) against the Houston Rockets, resulting in a difficult matchup for offensive production.
The Rockets have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which ought to reduce plays for the Sacramento Kings.
Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Kings grade out 8thworst in in the league with only 10.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.