Keon Ellis Points - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2026

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NBA · Player Props

Keon Ellis

G · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 6, 2026

Updated Jan 6, 2026 11:00 PM EST

Analysis

Keon Ellis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase plays for the Kings.
As a team, the Sacramento Kings have been very successful at getting to the foul line in recent games: 10th-best in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, averaging 25.4 foul shot attempts per game.

Favors Under

The 8th-slowest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).