Keon Ellis Points - Player Prop Bet 11/5/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Keon Ellis

G · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors · Nov 5, 2025

Updated Nov 5, 2025 9:50 PM EST

Analysis

Keon Ellis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+110/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of scoring, the Sacramento Kings's remarkable 115.7 points per game comes in as the 8th-strongest in the league since the start of last season.
The Kings have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Sacramento Kings are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the 5th-quickest tempo away offense in the NBA this year (the Golden State Warriors).
The matchup vs. Golden State is a good one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a massive 3.2 free throws per game this year when the Golden State Warriors are on the road (5th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The matchup against Golden State is a tough one for 3-pointers; when the Golden State Warriors are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SGs have shot for the lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (21.6%).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Kings grade out 7thworst in in the NBA with just 9.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.