Keon Ellis Points - Player Prop Bet 11/3/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Keon Ellis

G · Sacramento Kings

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 3, 2025

Updated Nov 3, 2025 9:09 PM EST

Analysis

Keon Ellis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Kings rank as the 7th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Sacramento Kings are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from facing the 8th-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets).
The Kings have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).