Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/9/2023

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Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

NBA · Player Props

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

G · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Orlando Magic vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 9, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has averaged 30.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 81st percentile.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Magic have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year on the road.
The Magic have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should reduce plays for the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to decreases stat production for all stats.

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