Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points - Player Prop Bet 5/19/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · May 19, 2024

Updated May 19, 2024 10:46 PM EST

Analysis

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has successfully made 2.5 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's made from three over the course of the season while playing at home.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has averaged 32.1 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the league while playing at home this year.
This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 2.6 three-pointers per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, identifying this as a good matchup.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 14.1% more than he's made in all games this season.

Favors Under

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has committed 2.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (75th percentile).
The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Nuggets.
The Nuggets have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 2.2 free throws per game over the last 20 games (2nd-least in the NBA).