Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2024

NBA · Player Props

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Boston Celtics · Mar 7, 2024

Updated Mar 8, 2024 2:51 AM EST

Analysis

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+126/-174).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -174.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has successfully made 2.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's converted from downtown overall this year.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has averaged 31.7 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
As it relates to scoring, the Nuggets's outstanding 50.6% field goal rate at home measures as the 3rd-highest in the league this year.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 8.8% more than he's put through the net in all games this year while on his home court.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope should see a rise in performance in all facets of the game due to enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (91st percentile).
This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SGs have shot 38.1% on field goals (12th-weakest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics, labeling this as a tough matchup.
The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Nuggets.
The Nuggets rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).