Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

New York Knicks vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 25, 2024

Updated Jan 26, 2024 12:07 AM EST

Analysis

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-131/-104).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has attempted 5.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.6 higher than he's attempted in all games this year on the road.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has been on the court for 32.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 85th percentile.
This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SGs have posted 21.5 points per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Knicks, branding this as a good matchup for offensive efficiency.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing teams have secured 10.2 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the New York Knicks (losing possessions that could otherwise result in more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

The Nuggets check in as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the league while playing on the road this year.
The least up-tempo pace visiting team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets will likely suffer a reduction in plays today from facing the most sluggish pace home offense in the league this year (the New York Knicks).
The matchup against New York may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the New York Knicks are at home (13th-least in the NBA).
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is expected to suffer a reduction in efficiency for all stats due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.