Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

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Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

NBA · Player Props

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 3:04 AM EST

Analysis

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has attempted 9.5 field goals per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 8.2 mark last season.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has played 33.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 89th percentile.
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have notched 19.6 points per game (28th-highest in the league) vs. the Kings, identifying this as a strong matchup for offensive output.
The Nuggets are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from facing the 7th-speediest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Sacramento Kings).
The Denver Nuggets have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.
The 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually reduces stat production across the board.

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