Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2023

NBA · Player Props

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

LA Clippers vs Denver Nuggets · Nov 27, 2023

Updated Nov 28, 2023 3:48 AM EST

Analysis

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has totaled 15.0 points per game over the last 5 games while at home, 3.9 more than he's totaled over the course of the season at home.
Among all players in the league, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope registers in the 87th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 33.1 minutes per game while playing at home this year.
The Nuggets rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
In contrast to last year's 86.2% rate, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope's foul-shot prowess has jumped this year to 100.0%.
The matchup against the Clippers may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing teams have attempted just 19.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (6th-least in the league).

Favors Under

In terms of scoring, the Nuggets's lackluster 106.7 points per game measures as the 5th-lowest in the league this year.
Since the start of last season when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 5.5 3-point attempts per game (11th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the LA Clippers, labeling this as a difficult matchup.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league while playing away from home this year.
The Clippers have allowed the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.7) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope should suffer a reduction in performance in all facets of the game on account of being on the road in this contest.