Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points - Player Prop Bet 6/7/2023

NBA · Player Props

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets · Jun 7, 2023

Updated Jun 8, 2023 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has converted 52.0% of his field goals over the last 5 games on the road, 6.4% more than he's sunk overall this season while playing away from home.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has made 37.5% of his three-pointers away from home this year, ranking in the 80th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has averaged 31.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 83rd percentile.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road.
The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 higher than he's been called for in all games this year.
The matchup vs. Miami is a hard one; when the Heat have the home court advantage, they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs this year (14.7).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while on the road.
The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should decrease possessions for the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).