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Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points
Player Prop - 6/7/2023

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -124.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has converted 52.0% of his field goals over the last 5 games on the road, 6.4% more than he's sunk overall this season while playing away from home.
  • Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has made 37.5% of his three-pointers away from home this year, ranking in the 80th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
  • Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has averaged 31.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 83rd percentile.
  • The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road.
  • The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 higher than he's been called for in all games this year.
  • The matchup vs. Miami is a hard one; when the Heat have the home court advantage, they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs this year (14.7).
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while on the road.
  • The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should decrease possessions for the Nuggets.
  • The Denver Nuggets rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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