Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points - Player Prop Bet 4/23/2023

NBA · Player Props

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 23, 2023

Updated Apr 23, 2023 3:51 PM EST

Analysis

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has made 51.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 5.8% more than he's sunk overall this year while on the road.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has sunk 2.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this year.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has tallied 30.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 83rd percentile.
The matchup vs. Minnesota is a favorable one for 3-pointers; when the Timberwolves are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have put up the 27th-highest three percentage in the league this year (39.1%).
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to technicals (84th percentile).
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing away from home.
The Timberwolves have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Nuggets.
The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).