Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points - Player Prop Bet 4/21/2023

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Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

NBA · Player Props

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 21, 2023

Updated Apr 21, 2023 7:37 PM EST

Analysis

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has averaged 30.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 83rd percentile.
The matchup vs. Minnesota is a favorable one for threes; when the Timberwolves are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SGs have posted the 26th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (38.8%).
The Denver Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 14.9% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Favors Under

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has attempted a lowly 8.4 field goals per game this season, quite a bit less than his 10.8 mark last season.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (85th percentile).
The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Nuggets.

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