Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Made 3 Point Shots

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NBA · Player Props

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

G · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 16, 2023

Updated Apr 16, 2023 10:46 PM EST

Analysis

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+142/-184).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +164 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has sunk 41.7% of his three-point attempts while on his home court this year, ranking in the 85th percentile out of all players in the league.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has played 30.0 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 79th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. Minnesota is a good one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 22nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 15 games when the Timberwolves are away from home (6.6).
The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the league this year, which should increase plays for the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has attempted a lowly 4.2 3-point shots per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 5.3 rate last year.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 0.2 higher than he's accumulated in all games this year at home.
The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as it relates to three-point attempts.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).