Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/12/2023

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Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

NBA · Player Props

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

G · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Chicago Bulls vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 12, 2023

Updated Dec 13, 2023 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+114/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +124 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has averaged 3.4 assists per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.
Among all players in the league, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope rates in the 87th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 33.2 minutes per game this year.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 7thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 more than he's averaged overall this year.
The 5th-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the most lethargic pace road team in the league this year (the Chicago Bulls).
The Chicago Bulls have allowed the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the NBA to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope stands to see a decline in production across the board due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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