Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2023

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

G · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 16, 2023

Updated Mar 16, 2023 6:52 PM EST

Analysis

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-185/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -185 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has averaged 29.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 81st percentile.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games.
The Pistons have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Nuggets.

Favors Under

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's been called for overall this year.
The Denver Nuggets rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
With the home court advantage, the Pistons have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually decreases player production in all facets of the game.