Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2022

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Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

NBA · Player Props

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

G · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat · Dec 30, 2022

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +143 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has played 31.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 81st percentile.
When playing away from home, the Heat have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to their opposition this year (which can also lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to raises stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 80th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league while traveling this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Heat.

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