Kenrich Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 1/26/2024

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Kenrich Williams

NBA · Player Props

Kenrich Williams

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 26, 2024

Updated Jan 27, 2024 1:32 AM EST

Analysis

Kenrich Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+124/-152).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kenrich Williams has sunk 39.2% of his 3-pointers this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
In terms of scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's outstanding 121.9 points per game comes in as the 3rd-best in the league this year.
The matchup against the Pelicans is a tough one for threes; their opposition has shot for the 3rd-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (34.4%).
The Thunder have played at the 9th-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year.

Favors Under

The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to see a decline in plays today from facing the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Pelicans).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 8.6 offensive boards per game this year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have collected 11.6 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the league) against the Pelicans (maintaining possessions that can create extra opportunities for offense).
Kenrich Williams has sunk a measly 30.0% of his free throw attempts this season, quite a bit less than his 46.5 mark last season.
Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have attempted 25.2 foul shots per game (6th-most in the NBA) against the Pelicans, easily managing to draw fouls.

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