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Kelly Oubre Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-102/-120).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -120.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Kelly Oubre Jr. has totaled 12.9 points per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- near the top of the league by this metric.Among all players in the league, Kelly Oubre Jr. lands in the 88th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 32.8 minutes per game on the road this year.The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games with the home court advantage, which should boost opportunities for the 76ers.Kelly Oubre Jr. has made 3.1 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 higher than he's put through the net overall this season.As a team, the 76ers have been very successful at getting to the foul line of late: best in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, tallying 24.5 free throw attempts per game.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Out of all players in the NBA, Kelly Oubre Jr. rates in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 2.7 fouls per game while playing on the road this year.This year, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 3.9 3-point attempts per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, creating a hard matchup.The most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Philadelphia 76ers.The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, struggling to get to the charity stripe.
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