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Kelly Oubre Jr.

Kelly Oubre Jr. Points
Player Prop - 4/17/2024

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat

Kelly Oubre Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-132/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kelly Oubre Jr. has attempted 16.2 shots per game over the last 10 games while at home, 3.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.

Out of all players in the NBA, Kelly Oubre Jr. ranks in the 77th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 29.4 minutes per game while playing at home this year.

This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 5.8 3-point attempts per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Miami Heat, making this a favorable matchup.

The 9th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Philadelphia 76ers grade out 7th-best in in the NBA as the home team with 11.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kelly Oubre Jr. has tallied 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (94th percentile).

With respect to 3-point shots, the 76ers's unimpressive 12.1 sunk threes per game places 9th-weakest in the league this year.

The 76ers are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from competing against the least up-tempo tempo away offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat).

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