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Kelly Oubre Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-130/+100).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -130.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Kelly Oubre Jr. has attempted 17.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 higher than he's attempted overall this year.Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have registered 22.3 points per game (4th-most in the league) against the Hornets, marking this as a positive matchup for offensive output.Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Philadelphia 76ers grade out 4th-best in in the NBA while playing at home with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.Kelly Oubre Jr. has attempted 6.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.9 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.The matchup against the Hornets is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a monstrous 4.5 free throws per game this year (most in the NBA).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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In contrast to last year's 2.3 rate, Kelly Oubre Jr.'s threes hit have regressed this year to 1.4 per game.Out of all players in the NBA, Kelly Oubre Jr. comes in at the 95th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 3.0 fouls per game while on his home court this year.With respect to shooting, the 76ers's feeble 93.4 points per game ranks fewest in the league over the last 5 games.The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.The Hornets have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the 76ers.
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