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Kelly Oubre Jr.

Kelly Oubre Jr. Points
Player Prop - 1/16/2024

Philadelphia 76ers vs Denver Nuggets

Kelly Oubre Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 7th-fastest tempo home team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers.

The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

When playing away from home, the Denver Nuggets have given up the 10th-least offensive boards per game (10.3) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Kelly Oubre Jr. has converted 93.8% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 28.2% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year when playing at home.

The matchup against the Denver Nuggets is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a massive 3.7 free throws per game this year (28th-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kelly Oubre Jr. has notched a measly 13.2 points per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 20.3 points per game last year.

Kelly Oubre Jr. has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 0.8 more than he's committed over the course of the year at home.

The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 7th-least aggressive offense in the league at home this year in regard to 3-point attempts.

Over the last 25 games, opposing starting SGs have tallied 15.6 points per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, designating this as a hard matchup for offensive productivity.

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Philadelphia 76ers.

More Kelly Oubre Jr. Player Props

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