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Kelly Olynyk

Kelly Olynyk Points
Player Prop - 4/14/2024

Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors

Kelly Olynyk Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kelly Olynyk has sunk 60.7% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 6.7% higher than he's made over the course of the season.

Kelly Olynyk has averaged 30.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.2 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.

The matchup with Bam Adebayo lands in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs nailing a massive 62.8% of their field goal attempts this year when they are playing on the road.

The 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Toronto Raptors.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kelly Olynyk has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.9 higher than he's averaged overall this year.

The Toronto Raptors rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Toronto Raptors.

The matchup with Bam Adebayo with respect to getting to the charity stripe comes in at the 7th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting only 2.7 free throws per game this year.

Kelly Olynyk figures to suffer a drop-off in output in all facets of the game on account of playing away from home in this game.

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