Kelly Olynyk Points - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Kelly Olynyk

F-C · Utah Jazz

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Utah Jazz · Jan 27, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 2:33 AM EST

Analysis

Kelly Olynyk Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kelly Olynyk has successfully made 69.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 16.4% higher than he's made in all games this season without the home court advantage.
Kelly Olynyk has sunk 55.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games on the road, 22.8% more than he's sunk in all games this year while on the road.
The Jazz have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the league over the last 15 games.
The Jazz have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Hornets have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.7) in the league to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Kelly Olynyk has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Utah Jazz rank as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the league as the away team this year.
This matchup is a favorable one for 3-pointers; their opposition has shot for the highest three percentage in the NBA this year (39.6%).
The Jazz will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions today from competing against the 5th-most lethargic tempo home team in the league over the last 10 games (the Charlotte Hornets).
This matchup is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; when the Charlotte Hornets are on their home court, opposing teams have attempted a whopping 24.4 free throws per game this year (7th-most in the NBA).