Kelly Olynyk Points - Player Prop Bet 11/29/2023

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Kelly Olynyk

NBA · Player Props

Kelly Olynyk

F-C · Utah Jazz

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz · Nov 29, 2023

Updated Nov 30, 2023 1:07 AM EST

Analysis

Kelly Olynyk Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Utah Jazz have played at the 9th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz grade out 15thbest in in the league while at home with 14.7 offensive boards per game this year.
With the home court advantage, the Grizzlies have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (7.8) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Kelly Olynyk has successfully made a mere 11.1% of his attempts from downtown this season, quite a bit less than his 43.8 rate last season.
Kelly Olynyk has been on the court for a measly 21.1 minutes per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 28.2 minutes per game last year.
Out of all players in the league, Kelly Olynyk ranks in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 2.9 fouls per game this year.
As it relates to shooting, the Jazz's poor 107.9 points per game comes in as the 7th-weakest in the NBA this year.
This year, opposing squads have totaled 15.1 threes per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, designating this as a strong matchup.

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