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Kelly Olynyk

Kelly Olynyk Points
Player Prop - 11/14/2023

Utah Jazz vs Portland Trail Blazers

Kelly Olynyk Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kelly Olynyk has made a whopping 58.3% of his attempts from downtown this year, significantly higher than his 29.0 rate last year.

The 4th-fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Utah Jazz.

The Trail Blazers have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to increase plays for the {OPP_TEAM}.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Jazz grade out 15thbest in in the league away from their home court with 14.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have come down with 9.0 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (minimizing possessions that could otherwise lead to extra chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last year's 28.2 rate, Kelly Olynyk's playing time has regressed this year to 19.8 minutes per game.

Kelly Olynyk has been called for 3.1 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

This matchup is a good one for shots from the field; opposing clubs have shot for the 10th-highest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (47.3%).

In comparison to last year's 2.9 clip, Kelly Olynyk's foul shots made have diminished this year to 1.2 per game.

This matchup is a favorable one for drawing fouls; when the Trail Blazers are playing at home, their opposition has attempted a monstrous 25.4 free throws per game since the start of last season (6th-most in the NBA).

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