Kelly Olynyk Points - Player Prop Bet 10/25/2023

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Kelly Olynyk

NBA · Player Props

Kelly Olynyk

F-C · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Sacramento Kings · Oct 25, 2023

Updated Oct 25, 2023 10:29 PM EST

Analysis

Kelly Olynyk Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-106/-114).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kelly Olynyk has made 5.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games at home, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) more than he's sunk over the course of the season with the home court advantage.
Kelly Olynyk has been on the court for a whopping 28.2 minutes per game this year, a significant increase from his 18.6 minutes per game last year.
The Jazz have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games playing at home.
The Jazz will likely see a spike in opportunities today from squaring off against the 6th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Kings).
The Utah Jazz check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Kelly Olynyk has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit more than his 2.5 fouls per game last year.
The Utah Jazz have been the 6th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
While on their home court, the Kings have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (13.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, opposing teams have attempted 26.2 free throws per game (5th-most in the league) against the Kings, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

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