Kelly Olynyk Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/14/2023

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Kelly Olynyk

NBA · Player Props

Kelly Olynyk

F-C · Utah Jazz

Assists

Portland Trail Blazers vs Utah Jazz · Dec 14, 2023

Updated Dec 15, 2023 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Kelly Olynyk Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 8th-speediest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Jazz rank 1stbest in in the league with 13.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Kelly Olynyk has compiled a mere 3.4 assists per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 3.7 assists per game last season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Kelly Olynyk rates in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a colossal 2.8 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.
The Jazz will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from competing against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Trail Blazers).
This year when they are away from home, opposing squads have nabbed 11.6 offensive boards per game (7th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (retaining possessions that can generate further opportunities for offense).
Kelly Olynyk is expected to suffer a reduction in efficiency for all stats due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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