Keita Bates-Diop Points - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Keita Bates-Diop

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings · Dec 8, 2023

Updated Dec 9, 2023 2:16 AM EST

Analysis

Keita Bates-Diop Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Keita Bates-Diop ranks in the 13th percentile for personal fouls, posting a mere 1.1 fouls per game playing at home this year.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing at home.
The matchup against Sacramento is a positive one for shots from the field; when the Kings have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PFs have posted the 30th-highest field goal percentage in the league this year (56.4%).
The Kings have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Suns.
While playing away from home, the Sacramento Kings have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Keita Bates-Diop has successfully made just 40.8% of his field goal attempts this season, quite a bit less than his 51.4 mark last season.
The Suns have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Phoenix Suns rank 6thworst in in the league while playing on the road with a mere 9.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Keita Bates-Diop has sunk a measly 73.1% of his free throw attempts this season, quite a bit less than his 81.0 mark last season.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 free throws per game (12th-lowest in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, struggling to get to the charity stripe.