Keita Bates-Diop Points - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2023

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Keita Bates-Diop

NBA · Player Props

Keita Bates-Diop

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 1, 2023

Updated Dec 2, 2023 3:14 AM EST

Analysis

Keita Bates-Diop Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -124 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Keita Bates-Diop places in the 18th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a lowly 1.3 fouls per game while at home this year.
The Suns have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
Without the home court advantage, the Denver Nuggets have allowed the 5th-least offensive boards per game (9.9) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Nuggets may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted an enormous 5.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (30th-most in the league).
Keita Bates-Diop should get a boost in production in all stat categories on account of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

In contrast to last year's 51.4% mark, Keita Bates-Diop's field goal prowess has fallen this year to 43.5%.
Keita Bates-Diop has made a measly 26.5% of his treys this season, quite a bit lower than his 36.6 rate last season.
Keita Bates-Diop has tallied 16.0 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 25th percentile -- putting him among the least-used players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. Denver is a challenging one for three-point attempts; when the Nuggets are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 13th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.6).
The slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Phoenix Suns.

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