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Keita Bates-Diop

Keita Bates-Diop Points
Player Prop - 11/8/2023

Chicago Bulls vs Phoenix Suns

Keita Bates-Diop Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keita Bates-Diop has converted 50.9% of his shots from the field playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 77th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Keita Bates-Diop has tallied 0.9 personal fouls per game while on his home court since the start of last season, ranking him in the 8th percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns rank 12thbest in in the league when playing on the road with 14.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Away from their home court, the Bulls have allowed the 10th-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

This matchup is a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing squads have attempted a measly 16.3 foul shots per game when the Bulls are playing at home this year (4th-least in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In terms of scoring, the Suns's feeble 105.8 points per game at home rates 9th-weakest in the NBA this year.

Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 1.3 three-pointers per game (8th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Chicago Bulls, marking this as a hard matchup.

The Suns have played at the 9th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Chicago Bulls have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the {OPP_TEAM}.

Keita Bates-Diop will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player production in all stat categories.

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