Keita Bates-Diop Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2023

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Keita Bates-Diop

NBA · Player Props

Keita Bates-Diop

F · Phoenix Suns

Made 3 Point Shots

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 1, 2023

Updated Dec 2, 2023 3:23 AM EST

Analysis

Keita Bates-Diop Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Keita Bates-Diop places in the 18th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a lowly 1.3 fouls per game while at home this year.
In terms of treys, the Phoenix Suns's stellar 41.3% rate of sunk threes while at home comes in as the strongest in the NBA this year.
Without the home court advantage, the Denver Nuggets have allowed the 5th-least offensive boards per game (9.9) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Keita Bates-Diop should get a boost in production in all stat categories on account of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Keita Bates-Diop has made a measly 26.5% of his treys this season, quite a bit lower than his 36.6 rate last season.
Keita Bates-Diop has tallied 16.0 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 25th percentile -- putting him among the least-used players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. Denver is a challenging one for three-point attempts; when the Nuggets are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 13th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.6).
The slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
The Phoenix Suns are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays today from facing the 5th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).

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