Keita Bates-Diop Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2023

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Keita Bates-Diop

NBA · Player Props

Keita Bates-Diop

F · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 1, 2023

Updated Dec 2, 2023 2:38 AM EST

Analysis

Keita Bates-Diop Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Keita Bates-Diop places in the 18th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a lowly 1.3 fouls per game while at home this year.
Without the home court advantage, the Denver Nuggets have allowed the 5th-least offensive boards per game (9.9) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Keita Bates-Diop should get a boost in production in all stat categories on account of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Keita Bates-Diop has posted 0.6 assists per game this year, putting him among the worst players in the league by this standard: 24th percentile.
Keita Bates-Diop has tallied 16.0 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 25th percentile -- putting him among the least-used players in the NBA.
The slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
The Phoenix Suns are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays today from facing the 5th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Phoenix Suns rank 7thworst in in the NBA on their home court with just 9.8 offensive boards per game this year.

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