Keegan Murray Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Rebounds

Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 31, 2024

Updated Feb 1, 2024 12:27 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has averaged 5.5 rebounds per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 85th percentile.
Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray registers in the 84th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 31.7 minutes per game while playing on the road this year.
The Kings rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
While on their home court, the Heat have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.0) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray places in the 85th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a monstrous 2.6 fouls per game on the road this year.
The Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Kings.
Keegan Murray ought to suffer a drop-off in output in all stat categories in light of being on the road in this contest.

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