Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 2/21/2026

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 21, 2026

Updated Feb 22, 2026 1:58 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-118/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Kings are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 4th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the San Antonio Spurs).
The Kings have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 3.5 free throws per game (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

With respect to offense, the Kings's poor 110.1 points per game measures as the 2nd-fewest in the NBA this year.
This year, opposing starting SFs have shot 36.0% on field goals (worst in the NBA) against the Spurs, marking this as a difficult matchup.
The Kings have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while on the road.

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