Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 4/19/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings · Apr 19, 2024

Updated Apr 19, 2024 10:57 PM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+114/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has attempted 10.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 3.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Keegan Murray has played 37.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 4.6 higher than he's played in all games this season on the road.
The Kings have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Keegan Murray has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 16.5% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 9.1 shot attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, making this a hard matchup.
The 3rd-most sluggish tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Kings.
The Pelicans have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Kings.
In regard to getting to the foul line, the Sacramento Kings's poor 19.5 foul shot attempts per game while playing away from home measures as the 4th-worst in the NBA this year.

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