Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2024

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings · Apr 9, 2024

Updated Apr 10, 2024 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has attempted 9.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Keegan Murray has tallied 32.9 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The Sacramento Kings will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 4th-speediest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).
The Kings have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Keegan Murray has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 18.1% more than he's converted over the course of the year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray comes in at the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, putting up a monstrous 2.7 fouls per game this year.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 25.5% on three-pointers (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Thunder, branding this as a tough matchup.
The least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
In regard to getting to the foul line, the Sacramento Kings's feeble 19.3 foul shot attempts per game away from home rates 3rd-worst in the NBA this year.
Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 1.4 free throws per game (4th-lowest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.