Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

New York Knicks vs Sacramento Kings · Apr 4, 2024

Updated Apr 4, 2024 11:31 PM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has attempted 8.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray ranks in the 87th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 32.5 minutes per game while on the road this year.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
Keegan Murray has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 17.9% more than he's put through the net in all games this season away from home.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray ranks in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, putting up a monstrous 2.7 fouls per game this year.
In terms of threes, the Sacramento Kings's lackluster 34.4% rate of converted threes away from home measures as the 7th-fewest in the league over the last 15 games.
The matchup vs. New York is a tough one for scoring; when the New York Knicks are at home, opposing starting SFs have posted the lowest FG% in the NBA this year (33.3%).
The Sacramento Kings are expected to see a decline in possessions in this game from competing against the slowest pace team in the league this year (the New York Knicks).
Over the last 15 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the New York Knicks, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

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