Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 2/5/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 5, 2024

Updated Feb 6, 2024 12:07 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last year's 9.7 clip, Keegan Murray's shots have risen this year to 12.8 per game.
Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray lands in the 90th percentile for 3-point attempts when playing on the road, logging 6.2 per game this year.
Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray ranks in the 85th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 31.8 minutes per game while playing away from home this year.
In regard to offense, the Kings's remarkable 122.1 points per game rates 5th-most in the league over the last 10 games.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray lands in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 2.6 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year.
The matchup vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers is a tough one for shots from the field; the other team's starting PFs have shot for the 12th-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (44.1%).
The Sacramento Kings will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).
The Sacramento Kings check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Keegan Murray will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsen player performance for all stats.