Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 11/13/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Nov 13, 2023

Updated Nov 14, 2023 3:12 AM UTC

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has attempted 16.0 field goals per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 9.2 mark last season.
Relative to last year's 6.1 rate, Keegan Murray's 3-point attempts have surged this year to 8.3 per game.
Among all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray slots into the 94th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 33.9 minutes per game while on the road this year.
The 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Kings.
The Cavaliers have played at the 7th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which should increase opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray slots into the 79th percentile for personal fouls, compiling an enormous 2.5 fouls per game this year.
In regard to three-point shots, the Sacramento Kings's unimpressive 31.7% rate of sunk threes without the home court advantage comes in as the 4th-worst in the league this year.
Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 4.4 3-point attempts per game (13th-lowest in the league) against the Cavaliers, branding this as a hard matchup.
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, their opposition has secured 12.6 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Cavaliers (continuing possessions that can generate more opportunities for offense).

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