Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings · Apr 5, 2023

Updated Apr 6, 2023 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has sunk 5.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.5 more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year while playing away from home.
Keegan Murray has been on the court for 29.0 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Sacramento Kings rank as the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a favorable one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PFs this year (17.4).
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home.

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season.
The Sacramento Kings rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
The Mavericks have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Keegan Murray will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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