Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Portland Trail Blazers · Feb 23, 2023

Updated Feb 24, 2023 3:07 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has successfully made 41.1% of his treys since the start of last season, ranking in the 95th percentile among all players in the league.
Keegan Murray has tallied 29.0 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 78th percentile.
The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a good one; they have allowed the 29th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PFs this year (15.8).
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games playing at home.
As a team, the Sacramento Kings have been great at getting to the foul line while playing at home: 5th-best in the NBA this year, averaging 23.8 foul shots per game.

Favors Under

The Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

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