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Keegan Murray

Keegan Murray Points
Player Prop - 1/18/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Sacramento Kings

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keegan Murray has scored 14.5 points per game over the last 10 games away from his home court, 4.0 higher than he's scored over the course of the year on the road.

Keegan Murray has converted 3.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the year.

The Sacramento Kings have been the highest scoring offense in the league this year.

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league this year.

The Kings have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased possessions for the Lakers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Lakers have allowed the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to their opposition this year (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).

The Sacramento Kings rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Lakers is a hard one for shots from the field; at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 9th-least shot attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (12.0).

Keegan Murray will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens player production in all stat categories.

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