Keegan Murray Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/20/2023

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Made 3 Point Shots

Sacramento Kings vs Boston Celtics · Dec 20, 2023

Updated Dec 21, 2023 3:04 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-174/+135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has successfully made 4.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.1 higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year with the home court advantage.
Keegan Murray has averaged 32.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 84th percentile.
The Kings check in as the most aggressive offense in the league with the home court advantage this year in terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc.
This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 5.3 3-point attempts per game (27th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, resulting in a positive matchup.
The 7th-speediest pace home team in the league this year has been the Sacramento Kings.

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.1 higher than he's been called for overall this season at home.
The Sacramento Kings will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from facing the 5th-slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games (the Boston Celtics).
The Sacramento Kings have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Without the home court advantage, the Celtics have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.8) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).