Keegan Murray Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 27, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 2:33 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+135/-175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray places in the 84th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 31.6 minutes per game on the road this year.
The 6th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
The Kings check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Sacramento Kings are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from competing against the 10th-most sluggish pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).
The Dallas Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Keegan Murray is expected to experience a decrease in output across the board considering playing away from home in this game.

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