Karl-Anthony Towns Points - Player Prop Bet 1/22/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Karl-Anthony Towns

C-F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Charlotte Hornets · Jan 22, 2024

Updated Jan 22, 2024 8:12 PM EST

Analysis

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-170/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Karl-Anthony Towns has successfully made 2.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's made over the course of the season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns slots into the 86th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 32.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
In regard to threes, the Timberwolves's terrific 40.0% rate of converted threes settles in as the 2nd-most in the league over the last 25 games.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 55.8% on shots from the field (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Charlotte Hornets, making this a good matchup.
Among all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns measures in the 93rd percentile for foul shots drained, compiling a monstrous 4.2 per game this year.

Favors Under

Karl-Anthony Towns has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (99th percentile).
The slowest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
When playing away from home, the Charlotte Hornets have given up the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).