Karl-Anthony Towns Points - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2023

NBA · Player Props

Karl-Anthony Towns

C-F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs New York Knicks · Nov 20, 2023

Updated Nov 21, 2023 1:08 AM EST

Analysis

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-123/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Karl-Anthony Towns has successfully made 10.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.1 higher than he's sunk overall this year when playing away from home.
Karl-Anthony Towns has attempted 5.2 treys per game this year, putting him in the 77th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The matchup against the Knicks is a positive one for threes; the other team's starting PFs have compiled the 29th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (49.1%).
The Knicks have allowed the least offensive boards per game (8.1) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
In terms of getting to the free-throw line, the Timberwolves's impressive 23.8 foul shot attempts per game playing at home rates 9th-best in the league this year.

Favors Under

Karl-Anthony Towns has tallied 4.2 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit more than his 4.1 fouls per game last year.
The Timberwolves are expected to experience a decrease in plays today from sharing the court with the most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the New York Knicks).
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Karl-Anthony Towns has attempted a lowly 3.8 foul shots per game this year, significantly lower than his 4.8 mark last year.
The matchup against the Knicks is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.6 free throws per game this year (12th-least in the NBA).